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2024 in Review: Key Developments in the Renewable Energy Industry

By Talk Power Team | Posted November 26, 2024

 

As 2024 draws to a close, our team has taken time to reflect on some of the year’s significant developments, while we prepare and plan for the upcoming year ahead.

This past year saw several notable events that have shaped the UK’s renewable energy landscape, including: 

  • A New Labour Government with ambitious net zero targets – following the general election in July, the new labour government quickly started to implement plans to accelerate net zero. Key initiatives include the establishment of Great British Energy, a publicly owned company, lifting the de facto ban on onshore wind in England, and setting out a commitment to transitioning the UK to clean power by 2030. 
  • Growing contribution of renewables to the UK’s power generation mix – Renewable energy sources accounted for 47% of the UK’s power generation in Q2 2024*. This increasing trend represents a positive step forward, recognising that a huge deployment of renewable technology is required to meet net zero targets.
  • Ongoing power price volatility – European wholesale gas and power prices have remained volatile this year, driven by multiple factors, particularly rising geopolitical tensions. Whilst this won’t reach the levels we’ve seen in previous years; volatility will still lead to uncertainty extending into 2025. 
  • Substantial increase of over 50% to the Contract for Difference (CfD) Auction Round 6 budget compared to previous round – this was enacted soon after the Labour government entered power and resulted in a record number of renewable energy projects being awarded contracts. As the largest auction to date, this milestone marks a step change in pace and prioritisation of government funding to deliver new renewable capacity.  

High level trends we’ve seen throughout 2024

  • Increased cannibalisation of solar and wind – the intermittent nature of solar and wind generation, dependent on weather conditions, can lead to periods of surplus output. Cannibalisation occurs when excess generation drives electricity prices down as supply exceeds demand in peak generating times. The lower prices reduce the financial value of renewable energy generation, posing a challenge for generators industry wide. There are several strategies that could help to reduce this risk, but overall, it is likely to grow in Great Britain as more renewable generation continues to be built:
    • Energy storage – being able to store excess power for use during high-demand periods can help ensure that renewable energy retains its value
    • Enhanced Grid management – improving the infrastructure to better balance supply and demand can contribute to greater price stability and likely reduce the impact of intermittent renewable generation on market prices
    • Demand side flexibility – shifting electricity consumption away from peak demand periods
  • The rise of co-location – co-location is an emerging trend where a renewable energy generation source, most commonly solar, and a battery storage system are installed on the same site, with a single grid connection point. It is viewed as a strategic solution to optimise resources, as well as increasing cost efficiencies, scalability, and reliability. Co-location provides numerous benefits, including maximising revenue for generators, balancing intermittent generation, and storing energy to optimise output. This is a rapidly advancing solution, driving innovation within the industry and we’re expecting this to continue to be a preferred solution for future projects too. Learn more about one of our recent co-location deals here, where we purchase the solar output through a PPA and manage the battery optimisation alongside this. 
  • CfD auctions – In the recent Auction Round 6 (AR6), some generators opted to return part of their AR4 offers to pursue funding through AR6. For those that were successful, this resulted in securing a better financial offer and improving their project viability. 

    Applications for the next auction round (AR7) are expected to open in March 2025, which will mark another milestone opportunity for generators to bid for funding to deliver new renewable projects. We’ll continue to support our network of generators throughout the process. 

  • Challenges to securing timely grid connections – achieving the government’s ambitious net zero targets and delivering clean power by 2030 will require at least double the current onshore wind capacity, and triple or even quadruple offshore wind and solar capacity. However, arguably the biggest barrier to this growth is the challenge of securing timely grid connections, with some new sites facing connection delays until 2033. In response, the National Electricity System Operator (NESO) has recently announced plans to expedite this transition. Read more about what their plans mean for the grid, and generators in our latest blog, here. 

Key trends for PPAs: What shaped 2024?

  • Trend towards shorter tenors for utility PPAs – this year has seen a shift towards shorter contract tenors, driven by lower market prices. The key benefit of this is flexibility, allowing generators to take advantage of market fluctuations and adapt quicker to changing conditions. This leaves them open to securing higher prices if wholesale prices do rise in future, mitigating the risk of lower prices. Our PPA team offer contracts starting from a month, however we recommend discussing your requirements with us, to ensure you have the right PPA to meet your specific needs. 
  • Greater use of split routes to market – Larger renewable assets are increasingly diversifying their generation across multiple hedging strategies or offtakers. Spreading the generation across different agreements and buyers can result in a reduced risk and a more balanced and resilient revenue stream. This trend also highlights a shift to more flexible and resilient models in the renewable energy industry.  
  • Decline in REGO prices - REGO prices have experienced significant volatility over the past year. Prices for Compliance Period 22 (CP22) reached highs of £18.50 earlier in the year, but have since dropped sharply, with CP23 and beyond now trading as low as £3.50–£4. This decline is largely attributed to reduced purchasing activity following the close of the CP22 Fuel Mix Disclosure submission and reflects broader market uncertainty about the role of REGOs in the UK’s journey to net zero. Lower REGO prices may result in renewable generators receiving less additional income per unit of energy sold. Our PPA team continuously monitors REGO pricing trends, providing updates and guidance to help our network navigate these shifts and assess potential revenue impacts.
  • Increased accessibility of Corporate PPAs – the demand for CPPAs is continuing, fuelled by corporates seeking innovative ways to reach net zero and report on their carbon emissions, as well as protect themselves from market price volatility. This growing demand is driving the standardisation of precedent agreements, as industry knowledge expands, and greater sophistication is applied in negotiations, structuring, and facilitation. With this growth expected to continue, CPPAs are becoming an increasingly attractive solution for corporates to secure renewable energy, meaning they will remain a key route to market opportunity for developers of renewable projects. Read about one of the recent CPPAs we facilitated, here. 

Here’s to 2025

This year we have seen increased progress, paving the way for 2025 to be another pivotal year for the renewable energy industry, as we advance towards achieving net zero. 


*Source: https://www.edie.net/report-renewables-power-nearly-half-of-great-britains-electricity-mix-in-q2-2024/ 

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